Stoic Times

May 14, 2026

Trump tries to make deals in China. And, Senate confirms Kevin Warsh as Fed leader

Kevin Warsh Takes the Fed's Helm. Presidents Come and Go. The Economy Endures.

The U.S. Senate has confirmed Kevin Warsh as the new Federal Reserve Chair, replacing Jerome Powell. Separately, the Trump administration is engaged in trade negotiations with China, seeking to reach new economic agreements between the world's two largest economies.

The Fed has had 17 chairs since its founding in 1913. Markets have survived all of them — including the turbulent tenures of Arthur Burns (stagflation), Paul Volcker (18% interest rates), and Alan Greenspan (two major crashes). Warsh is not an unknown quantity: he served as a Fed Governor from 2006–2011, navigating the 2008 financial crisis. U.S.-China trade negotiations, meanwhile, have been a recurring feature of American politics since China joined the WTO in 2001. Deals have been struck, broken, renegotiated, and struck again. The 2020 "Phase One" trade deal was announced with fanfare; its targets were largely missed; trade continued anyway.


Whether you restructure your finances based on a new Fed chair (you shouldn't, at least not today). Whether you follow the China talks closely enough to act on actual outcomes, rather than the theater of negotiation. If you hold significant assets, reviewing your interest-rate exposure is a reasonable, calm exercise — not an emergency.

The Warsh confirmation is worth genuine awareness — a new Fed chair sets the tone for monetary policy, interest rates, and inflation management for years. The China talks are not yet an outcome. Wait for a deal before adjusting anything. Permission granted to ignore the negotiation headlines until something is actually signed.

Source: NPR

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