Stoic Times

January 22, 2026

Trump Returns to a Familiar Role: Sowing Trade Chaos

Tariffs Threatened Again. Markets Flinched. Markets Always Flinch.

President-elect Trump has announced plans for new tariffs on imports, continuing his established trade policy approach from his previous term. Markets have reacted with volatility to the announcements, and trading partners are preparing responses.

Trade wars are cyclical political theater. The US imposed tariffs on steel (2002), Japan (1980s), and countless times throughout the 20th century. The 1930 Smoot-Hawley tariffs were followed by retaliation, then eventual normalization. Markets panic initially, then adapt. During Trump's 2018-2019 trade disputes, the S&P 500 ended those years up 6% and 29% respectively despite daily volatility over tariff tweets.


Whether you check trade news compulsively (you shouldn't). Your investment time horizon - if it's over 5 years, daily trade policy noise is irrelevant. Whether you buy imported goods today or wait - prices change regardless of tariffs due to currency, oil, and dozens of other factors.

Unless you're an import/export business owner or day trader: awareness only. Markets have survived every trade dispute in history. Your retirement account will likely outlast this news cycle.

Sources: NY Times

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